Showing posts with label Presidential debate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Presidential debate. Show all posts

Saturday, 18 October 2008

Issue #12

The Linkrod
Links to the best chat on the web

ISSUE #12 - Saturday, 18th October 2008


  • William Bradley, The Huffington Post
    "Inside the "Bradley effect""
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/william-bradley/inside-the-bradley-effect_b_135592.html

    DJR's gist: William Bradley was part Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley's campaign team in the 1982 elections to become Governor of California. This is the election where the "Bradley effect" has its roots - a Field Poll suggested that Tom Bradley had the vote in the bag and would become the first ever African-American State Governor. Something went wrong, and he ended up losing. Why? Well despite general consensus towards inherent racism affecting people's votes once they are out of public (the Bradley effect), William Bradley argues that race did not play a factor. This argument is based on one crucial factor - the same Poll predicted comfortable victory in the Senate elections which were also lost be the predicted winner. And crucially, he wasn't black.





  • Holly Watt, US Election blog, The Sunday Times
    "Offense in Nevada"
    http://timesonline.typepad.com/uselections/2008/10/offense-in-neva.html

    DJR's gist: Having reached California in her coast-to-coast-to-coast trip across the US, Holly is heading eastward once more back through the battleground state of Nevada. While its rural areas are, unsurprisingly, very much Republican red, the urban colossus of Las Vegas is overwhelmingly blue and has left the state and its precious Electoral College votes on a tenterhook. To the extent that votes are being decided by four-year olds.



  • Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight
    "Scrap the squigglys"
    http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/scrap-squigglys.html

    DJR's gist: The vogue in the US at present is to attach these squiggly line graphs alongside/under/on top of footage from Presidential debates. While CNN gained first-mover advantage from using it in the first of the 2008 season, it has now been used across networks in various manners. But is it a good thing? There's certainly an argument that a dynamic opinion poll of such few people, with a margin for error SO large, can have a disproportionate effect on national opinion.



  • Greg Winter, HHblog
    "Choose your next words wisely"
    http://www.hhcc.com/?p=535

    DJR's gist: Hank Paulson did not name his proposal when he put forward plans to use $700bn of US taxpayers money to support the US financial system. So the media gave it a name for him: "The Bailout". Bad marketing. No surprises, then, that it wasn't long before the bill was rejected from fears of "bailing out the Wall St fat cats". However, if he'd branded it early with something along the lines of "rescue package", things could have been very different...



  • Richard Alleyne, The Daily Telegraph
    "Obese people get less satisfaction from food"
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2008/10/16/sciobese116.xml

    DJR's gist: Explaining that fat people are fat because they are fat has never, for some reason, been a satisfactory answer. Scientists have now discovered a marginally more satisfying one, with research suggesting that obesity arises from a lower appreciation of tasty food, resulting in obese people having to eat more in order to achieve the hormonal level of pleasure that normal people gain from a good meal.

    Hat tip for this link goes to Chouders, but his full 'title' shall not be mentioned again until he can be bothered to post something worth reading.





  • Ed Gorman, The Times
    "Lewis Hamilton will "throw world title away""
    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/formula_1/article4965343.ece

    DJR's gist: After a ridiculous outburst by his ridiculous driver yesterday (see Linkrod Issue #11), Flavio Briatore, the head of Renault F1, has got his grubby mits involved in issues that don't concern him once again, claiming that Lewis Hamilton is "like a striker who hits the post a lot but can't score" (or words to that effect). If Renault were half decent, he may be in a position to make such a comment. More likely, he's probably just a jealous, possibly racist, idiot. Much like his lead driver.

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Issue #10

The Linkrod
Links to the best chat on the web

ISSUE #10 - Thursday, 16th October 2008


  • Bagehot, The Economist
    "The riddle of Gordon Brown"
    http://www.economist.com/world/britain/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12427804

    DJR's gist: Amid a collapsing global economy, almost unnoticed has been the manner in which Gordon Brown overturned his political position. Not long ago, he was a political catastrophe biding his time before the approaching and inevitable capitulation of his Government to the resurgent Tories. Now, he is a trail-blazing visionary taking a global lead in attempts to bring the credit crunch under control, with other world leaders seemingly following his every command and his actions gaining plaudits from Nobel Laureate economists. What's the story? Bagehot explains...

    See also: Joseph Stiglitz, The Guardian - "Paulson tries again"



  • Ross Douthat, The Atlantic
    "Tonight's debate"
    http://rossdouthat.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/tonights_debate.php

    DJR's gist: All that needs to be said about this is quoting the opening sentence: "In ninety minutes of crisply-moderated tedium, we learned exactly one interesting thing: That Barack Obama is almost eager to talk about Bill Ayers, and John McCain can barely bring himself to grind out the syllables necessary to make something vaguely approximating a point on the subject.



  • Ben Macintyre, The Times
    "The white lie that keeps Barack Obama awake at night"
    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/ben_macintyre/article4950484.ece

    DJR's gist: The "Bradley Effect" is a supposed trait in US elections involving African-American candidates where polls overestimate support for the Black candidate, due to voter intentions not matching their outward statements. That is to say, people say they'll vote for the black candidate in public, but in the privacy of the voting booth, they can't bring themselves to do it and bail. Democrats are hoping that evidence of this effect gradually fading proves correct, or else the world could be in for a very nasty surprise come 4th November.



  • Cindy Saine, Voice of America
    "'Joe the Plumber' - Unexpected Star of US Presidential Debate"
    http://www.voanews.com/english/2008-10-16-voa59.cfm

    DJR's gist: So some chap called Joe Wurzelbacher is now famous across America and hero-worshipped by the same kind of nutcases who think Sarah Palin is a good idea for a Vice President, going by the name as "Joe the Plumber". His fame has come as a result of his name being mentioned a staggering 23 times in last night's final Presidential debate, as John McCain made a last-ditch effort to connect with the independent voters who are deserting his campaign. To the credit of Joe, this interview with him shows that he has a degree of substance behind his scepticism of Obama - it's just a shame that his name is already being seized upon by Sarah Palin - calling out to "Joe and Jane the Plumber". Probably "Sixpack" as well.

    See also: E.J. Dionne Jr., The Washington Post - "What Joe the Plumber Can't Fix"